Israeli Intelligence Warns of Imminent Iranian Attack Amid Rising Tensions
A potential retaliation for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh could escalate conflict between Iran and Israel.
Israeli intelligence agencies have reportedly assessed that Iran is preparing to launch a direct attack on Israel within the coming days, according to Axios reporter Barak Ravid, who cited two informed sources. This anticipated strike is believed to be in retaliation for the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran in late July, an event for which Israel has neither claimed nor denied responsibility.
The intelligence assessment marks a significant shift from previous evaluations, which had suggested that international pressures were holding Iran back from taking such direct action against Israel. However, the most recent assessment, developed within the last 24 hours, indicates that Iran has now resolved to target Israel directly.
Adding to the tension, the potential attack could take place before an upcoming summit on Thursday, which is set to focus on negotiations for a ceasefire agreement. The timing of this expected attack is critical, as it could significantly influence the outcome of the diplomatic efforts.
Reports have also emerged of internal disagreements within Iran, particularly between the Revolutionary Guards and the newly elected Iranian president and his advisors. The core of the dispute lies in the appropriate nature and timing of Iran's response to Haniyeh's assassination.
While the Revolutionary Guards are advocating for a harsher and more extensive retaliation than the April 13 attack, President Pezzekian and his advisors reportedly argue for a more measured approach, aiming to avoid a severe escalation.
As the situation develops, the potential for a direct conflict between Iran and Israel looms large, with both regional and global implications.